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This is, as always a forecast. The last Typhoon, Ramil, did a U turn just before making landfall in the North. Whilst it is obviously prudent to make preparations, this is not a severe warning. IF Typhoon Santi makes landfall the winds will be strong, but it was not the winds of Ondoy that caused the problems, but rather the rain that came with it. It is the rain that we do not want. Some Metro Manila communities, still under water, are anticipating that they Will be under water for another 2-3 months - unless there is a major rain dump in the meantime!
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(Manila is around about the left most red dot on this track projection image.)